Gladys Berejiklian has become the state's first elected female premier and the Coalition has won a third term in office.
Labor hasn't changed leaders for a full four months
Shooting stars
One of the interesting results of Saturday's election is the strong performance of the Shooters'.
The Shooters, Fishers & Farmers vote jumped 3.1 per cent on Saturday.
The talking heads on ABC's Insiders this morning have been hypothesising as to why this is. The thinking is that the Shooters are a home for disaffected Nationals who do not want to side with One Nation. The Shooters provide more of a focus on needs of the regions.
Roy Butler, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers candidate for the seat of Barwon, campaigned on water issues
That's also what Roy Butler, who will represent Barwon for the Shooters, told the ABC last night.
"It is an issue for the Nationals but it's an issue of their own making in a lot of ways," said Butler, a cattle farmer and a vegetarian.
Upper house
The count's been continuing for the NSW Upper House this morning...
It may take a lil' while for the final make-up of the Legislative Council to be determined, but at 8.30am or so this is what we're looking at:
The Coalition has polled about 32.6 per cent, Labor 26.9 per cent, and the Greens' 8.6 per cent. One Nation polled 5.8 per cent, and the Shooters' 4.7 per cent.
At this stage that should result at least seven seats for the Coalition, six for Labor, and one each for the Greens', Shooters and One Nation. Another five are in doubt.
Grim-ish for the Nats
As at late last night, there had been a 1.1 per cent swing away from the Nationals. That's less than the 2.1 per cent swing away from the Liberals, and only a bit more than the 1 per cent swing away from Labor.
But that swing was enough to certainly lose three seats, and possibly a fourth, with Dubbo still line-ball. There were swings of more than 20 per cent to the Shooters' Party candidates in Barwon and Murray.
"This is the price they pay for regional neglect," Roy Butler, the successful Shooters candidate in Barwon said last night. "We've seen a massive decline in our quality of life."
That weak result for the Nationals was obscured by the strength of the vote for the party's leader - John Barilaro.
Barilaro - who joked during the campaign that he might be called "Pork Barilaro" for his spending tendencies - was returned with an 8.1 per cent swing.
More than quietly confident: Deputy Premier John Barilaro holds his seat of Monaro.Credit:Alex Ellinghausen
Gladys says thanks
Shooters, Greens, Independents
Mixed results for a range of minor parties last night.
The Shooters, Fishers & Farmers Party picked up two seats in the regions - Murray and Barwon.
The Greens strengthened their grip on Sydney's inner west. Despite the deep turmoil in the left-wing party, Jenny Leong in Newtown and Jamie Parker in Balmain both enjoyed strong swings toward them. Labor's hopes of ever regaining representation in those areas look doomed for some time to come.
But the Greens' vote dropped about a percentage point overall - not a great outcome in the context of a general swing away from the major parties.
And the state's independents also got back in: Alex Greenwich, the one-time Clover Moore protege in Sydney; Joe McGirr in Wagga Wagga; and Greg Piper in Lake Macquarie.
'Our kids are moving out and foreigners are moving in and taking their jobs'
It may take some time for the electoral impact of Michael Daley's comments about "young people from typically Asia" replacing "our young children" in Sydney to be properly analysed and quantified.
But on the face of it, those comments may have had a significant effect.
This is most striking in the electorate of Kogarah, where 20 per cent of the population was born in China, compared to 3 per cent across the state as a whole.
Labor's Chris Minns suffered a swing against him of almost 4 per cent on Saturday. Minns, who challenged Daley for the Labor leadership in September, has long been ear-marked as leadership potential. He could challenge Daley again on the back of Saturday's result.
“One of the things that was really hard was to see hundreds of Chinese Australians handing out how to vote cards for Labor and, at the same time, they were on the front page of newspapers being talked about,” Minns said yesterday.
“We lost faith with that community and we’ve got a huge job ahead of us to breach that void.”
Member for Kogarah Chris Minns Credit:Dominic Lorrimer
Some of those Sydney seats
Coogee, East Hills, Penrith... these were some of the Sydney seats Labor needed to win to form government in NSW for the first time since 2011.
But it looks like only Coogee will change hands, with Labor's Marjorie O'Neill to take over from the Liberals' Bruce Notley-Smith.
The Herald's Natassia Chrysanthos was at Panthers in Penrith last night to hear local MP and Sports Minister Stuart Ayres claim victory. Ayres, the architect of the government's controversial stadiums policy, thanked Labor's Michael Daley for his services.
As at Sunday morning, it looks like Ayres has hung on despite a 4.7 per cent swing against him.
And in East Hills, which had been held by the Liberals' with only a 0.4 per cent margin, it looks like the Liberal Wendy Lindsay may increase the margin on the seat to 0.8 per cent.
Foreign Affairs Minister Marise Payne with her partner, returning Penrith MP Stuart Ayres at Jamison High School.Credit:Louise Kennerley
A little more from last night
Labor leader Michael Daley's campaign suffered from two remarkable self-inflicted wounds in the final week of the campaign: the first being the emergence of his comment that "young people from Asia" are replacing "our children" in the jobs and housing market; the second his inability to answer basic questions about his policies in a leaders' debate.
Last night Daley emphasised the fact that he became leader of the state Labor Party only 134 days ago. "I thought that would be enough time ... but it just wasn't long enough," he told the faithful at the Coogee Bay Hotel. He intends to remain leader.
The exact shape of the next NSW Parliament is still being determined. It looks settled, however, that a former Labor leader will be joining Daley in Macquarie Street. Mark Latham, whose political trajectory has taken him to far right and Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party, will win a spot in the NSW Upper House.
The extent of Latham's political power in the Upper House - based on whether his vote will be needed to pass legislation - is not yet known.
Just not enough time, says Labor leader Michael DaleyCredit:Dominic Lorrimer
The morning after a remarkable result
Morning,
Gladys Berejiklian did it.
The state's second female premier became the state's first elected female premier last night - delivering a huge fillip to the Coalition cause right across the country, no doubt. There was no certainty she would win, and definitely not that she would win in such a manner. The polls had been close all along. But there it goes. At this stage the Coalition may have lost only two lower house seats to Labor - Coogee and Lismore - and two seats to the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers - Barwon and Murray. If that remains the case, Berejiklian will be able to govern without the help of a minor party in the lower house.
We will keep you updated today on the election results as they continue to be returned. And try to give you a sense of what everyone is making of it all.
Here's a little of how the Herald covered last night's activities:
This is how you win an election, Gladys Berejiklian might be telling Scott MorrisonCredit:James Brickwood
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